November 20, 2008

Big 12 could have 3 BCS teams.

The BCS has conviened to determine what happens if a conference has two teams #1 and #2, neither of whom are the conference champion. It had been my assumption that the two teams per conference rule would prevail, but the BCS has ruled that all three would get an automatic BCS bid.

The scenario is as follows:
Florida and Alabama both lose a game, either Florida losing to FSU then beating Alabama or Alabama losing to Auburn then beating Florida. (Florida losing to the Citadel is about as remote as Utah making the NC game.)

Oklahoma beats Texas Tech, who remains ahead of USC and Utah (who may jump USC with a win over BYU). Missouri then wins the Big 12 championship game.

The team Missouri beat, likely Oklahoma as they could pass Texas after a second win over Oklahoma State, would be out. 2 teams from the Big 12 South would be #1 and #2, and Missouri would have the Fiesta Bowl bid.

Under this scenario the BCS bowls would look like:
NC: Texas Tech vs Texas
Rose: Oregon State vs Penn State/Ohio State/Michigan State
Fiest Bowl: Missouri vs Alabama/Florida loser
Sugar Bowl: Alabama/Florida winner vs Utah/Boise State/BYU
Orange Bowl: ACC Champion vs Big East Champion

With no at large spots available USC would go to the Holiday Bowl.

Comments:

Big 12 could have 3 BCS teams.
The BCS has conviened to determine what happens if a conference has two teams #1 and #2, neither of whom are the conference champion. It had been my assumption that the two teams per conference rule would prevail, but the BCS has ruled that all three would get an automatic BCS bid. The scenario is as follows: Florida and Alabama both lose a game, either Florida losing to FSU then beating Alabama or Alabama losing to Auburn then beating Florida. (Florida losing to the Citadel is about as remote as Utah making the NC game.) Oklahoma beats Texas Tech, who remains ahead of USC and Utah (who may jump USC with a win over BYU). Missouri then wins the Big 12 championship game. The team Missouri beat, likely Oklahoma as they could pass Texas after a second win over Oklahoma State, would be out. 2 teams from the Big 12 South would be #1 and #2, and Missouri would have the Fiesta Bowl bid. Under this scenario the BCS bowls would look like: NC: Texas Tech vs Texas Rose: Oregon State vs Penn State/Ohio State/Michigan State Fiest Bowl: Missouri vs Alabama/Florida loser Sugar Bowl: Alabama/Florida winner vs Utah/Boise State/BYU Orange Bowl: ACC Champion vs Big East Champion With no at large spots available USC would go to the Holiday Bowl.