September 14, 2009

simulated BCS Standings: Week 2

Our friend Samuel Chi at BCS Guru has published this weeks simulated BCS standings. For a more detailed explanation of how the ranking is simulated follow the link provided.

For an explanation for why the computers are hating on Florida see his writeup for the current week.

Bold indicates the highest ranked teams from automatic qualifying(AQ) conferences, a strike represent additional teams from the SEC and Big 12. Teams vying for a final AQ awarded to the highest ranked team from a conference without an AQ if at least one makes the final top 12 are in italics. The remaining teams (including those in italics not selected) are fighting for the last remaining BCS openings. Gaps represent large differences in the BCS standigns.

1) USC 0.8727

2) Texas 0.7882
3) Alabama 0.7870
4) Florida 0.7540

5) LSU 0.6655
6) California 0.6460
7) Boise State 0.6097
8) Penn State 0.5992
9) BYU 0.5987

10) Ole Miss 0.5240

11) Ohio State 0.4332
12) Oklahoma 0.4050
13) Georgia Tech 0.3727
14) TCU 0.3651
===BCS Eligibility Line===
15) Utah 0.3505
16) Virginia Tech 0.3500

17) Oklahoma State 0.2552
18) North Carolina 0.2460
19) Nebraska 0.2176
20) Cincinnati 0.1979
===Watch Line===
21) Houston 0.1880
22) Georgia 0.1697
23) Miami(FL) 0.1467
24) Missouri 0.1375
25) Pittsburgh 0.1284

As usual the Big 12 and SEC dominate the standings with 5 teams each, many near the top.

Currently three teams from outside the BCS AQ conferences have crossed the #14 ranking needed to become BCS eligible. Two have made it into the top 10. A total of five are present in the top 25. This all suggests that a robust push by the MWC, WAC and C-USA to earn their AQ is underway.

If BYU wins this week against FSU they should take the lead from Boise State and hold it until they lose a game.

California (or USC) and Ohio State (or Penn State) are the only obstacles blocking the BCS from being forced to take a second team from outside the six AQ conferences. Virginia Tech and North Carolina are on deck to fill any vacancies, despite the media bombardment directed at the ACC so far this year.

The ACC certainly is not looking to be as even across the board as it was last year. If they are, it will be serious trouble for them.

The Big East also advanced further into the standings with Cincinnati entering the watch list and Pittsburgh joining them in the top 25, reflecting a strong early performance against mostly outmatched opponents. This week should be a good barometer of how good the Big East really is. Have we all really forgotten 2006 and 2007 already?

Comments:

simulated BCS Standings: Week 2
Our friend Samuel Chi at BCS Guru has published this weeks simulated BCS standings. For a more detailed explanation of how the ranking is simulated follow the link provided. For an explanation for why the computers are hating on Florida see his writeup for the current week. Bold indicates the highest ranked teams from automatic qualifying(AQ) conferences, a strike represent additional teams from the SEC and Big 12. Teams vying for a final AQ awarded to the highest ranked team from a conference without an AQ if at least one makes the final top 12 are in italics. The remaining teams (including those in italics not selected) are fighting for the last remaining BCS openings. Gaps represent large differences in the BCS standigns. 1) USC 0.8727 2) Texas 0.7882 3) Alabama 0.7870 4) Florida 0.7540 5) LSU 0.6655 6) California 0.6460 7) Boise State 0.6097 8) Penn State 0.5992 9) BYU 0.5987 10) Ole Miss 0.5240 11) Ohio State 0.4332 12) Oklahoma 0.4050 13) Georgia Tech 0.3727 14) TCU 0.3651 ===BCS Eligibility Line=== 15) Utah 0.3505 16) Virginia Tech 0.3500 17) Oklahoma State 0.2552 18) North Carolina 0.2460 19) Nebraska 0.2176 20) Cincinnati 0.1979 ===Watch Line=== 21) Houston 0.1880 22) Georgia 0.1697 23) Miami(FL) 0.1467 24) Missouri 0.1375 25) Pittsburgh 0.1284 As usual the Big 12 and SEC dominate the standings with 5 teams each, many near the top. Currently three teams from outside the BCS AQ conferences have crossed the #14 ranking needed to become BCS eligible. Two have made it into the top 10. A total of five are present in the top 25. This all suggests that a robust push by the MWC, WAC and C-USA to earn their AQ is underway. If BYU wins this week against FSU they should take the lead from Boise State and hold it until they lose a game. California (or USC) and Ohio State (or Penn State) are the only obstacles blocking the BCS from being forced to take a second team from outside the six AQ conferences. Virginia Tech and North Carolina are on deck to fill any vacancies, despite the media bombardment directed at the ACC so far this year. The ACC certainly is not looking to be as even across the board as it was last year. If they are, it will be serious trouble for them. The Big East also advanced further into the standings with Cincinnati entering the watch list and Pittsburgh joining them in the top 25, reflecting a strong early performance against mostly outmatched opponents. This week should be a good barometer of how good the Big East really is. Have we all really forgotten 2006 and 2007 already?