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September 28, 2009

(simulated) BCS Standings - Week 4

BCS Guru is off for the week, but has posted a raw from of his data this week.

The addition of the Harris Poll allows 90% of the BCS formula to be currently available.

Bold: Top ranked team from an automatic qualifying conference
Italics: Teams from outside the automatic qualifying conferences
Strike: Additional teams from the SEC and Big 10
Gaps: Significant differences in standings values

1) Alabama 0.9091
2) Florida 0.8902

3) LSU 0.8226
4) Texas 0.8024
5) Boise State 0.7933
6) Virginia Tech 0.7389

7) Cincinnati 0.5771
8) TCU 0.5736
9) USC 0.5542
10) Iowa 0.5133
11) Ohio State 0.5078
12) Oklahoma 0.5037

13) Houston 0.3964
14) Georgia0.3688
=== BCS Eligibility Line ===
15) Oregon 0.3206
16) Penn State 0.2978
17) Oklahoma State 0.2812
18) Miami (FL) 0.2751
19) Kansas 0.2460
20) Michigan 0.2421
=== BCS Watch Line ===
21) California 0.2062
22) BYU 0.1904
23) Ole Miss 0.1899
24) Missouri 0.1839
25) Georgia Tech 0.1685

South Florida, Auburn and Nebraska have enough points that they would be ranked latter in the season when the data is condensed.

The SEC has a grip hold on the claim to being the top conference in the land with the top three spots. The Big 10 has taken the Big 12's spot as the conferences with the second highest number of teams in the top 20. This year is looking like 2007 all over, though Auburn is looking like they want a repeat of 2004.

The computers appear to have compensated for much of the craziness of the coaches poll. Oregon is ranked above California, Houston above Oklahoma State and Iowa over Penn State.

Boise State is the lead outsider with an unprecedented spot in the top 5. Two teams are already in the top 12 needed to guarantee one of them a spot, with a third BCS Eligible and knocking on the door.

 

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