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October 13, 2008

Unofficial BCS standings - Week 7

BCS Guru released his new standings, using all the data the BCS uses except for Peter Wolfe's rankings, as it is not available until next week. Next week also features the first official BCS standings for 2008.

Using a median of dozens of other computer rankings instead is a fair estimate. As the BCS formula throws out the largest and smallest value Florida has the largest possible error, with a median equal to its highest computer ranking and a lowest ranking 18 points lower. This could lower them up to 0.0600 points, all other teams have errors less than this. An error of 0.0067 would be a more typical value to expect.

Unofficial BCS top 25:
Conference leaders in italics. Breaks used to highlight gaps over 0.06 in the standings.

1) 0.9932 Texas
2) 0.9621 Alabama

3) 0.8965 Penn State

4) 0.7744 USC
5) 0.7368 Oklahoma
6) 0.7297 Texas Tech
7) 0.7052 Oklahoma State
8) 0.6860 Florida

9) 0.6217 Georgia
10) 0.6180 Utah
11) 0.5843 Ohio State
12) 0.5843 BYU
13) 0.5450 Missouri
14) 0.5146 Boise State

15) 0.4067 Michigan State
16) 0.3664 Virginia Tech
17) 0.3592 LSU

18) 0.2912 Kansas
19) 0.2660 Wake Forest
20) 0.2518 North Carolina

21) 0.1795 Ball State
22) 0.1752 South Florida

23) 0.0957 Vanderbilt
24) 0.0892 California
25) 0.0801 TCU

Other Conference leaders and independents:
28) 0.0454 Tulsa
42) 0.0006 Notre Dame
46) 0.0000 Navy (Ranked 18 in Sagarin's ELO-CHESS)

BCS AQ Hit List:
Three BCS non-AQ conference members are in the top 14.

Utah
BYU
Boise State

BCS non-AQ Hit List:
Only one BCS AQ conference member is in the top 14, outside of the conference leaders and members of the SEC and Big 12. Three more are in the top 20.

Ohio State
Michigan State
Wake Forest
North Carolina

 

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